Risk Factors of Fatal Outcome in Patients With COVID-19 Pneumonia

Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2022 Feb;16(1):271-278. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2020.346. Epub 2020 Sep 10.

Abstract

Objectives: The aim of this study was to correlate the clinical, laboratory, and radiographic characteristics of patients with a confirmed diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease, with fatal outcome.

Methods: We reviewed chest X-ray (CXR) features, clinical, and laboratory data of patients with reverse transcriptase polymerase-chain-reaction confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 infection. The relationship with mortality was investigated by fitting a logistic regression model.

Results: A total of 246 patients were included (170 males; mean age, 63 y). Most of the patients had 1 or more comorbidity (62%); fever (95%), and cough (60%) were the most common symptoms; CXR detected abnormalities in 88.6%, mainly showing ground-glass opacities (GGO) (90%) with bilateral (64%) and peripheral (46%) distribution.Multivariate analysis showed that age (P < 0.001; mortality of 59% in patients >66 y old; 5% at a younger age) and consolidation at CXR (P = 0.001; mortality of 11% with positive CXR; 2% in those without) represented the 2 most significant independent risk factors of mortality. Chronic pathologies, such as diabetes and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and peripheral GGO at CXR also showed a significant correlation with mortality.

Conclusions: We identified predictive factors for the fatal outcome of COVID-19 patients. The prognostic value of these findings can be useful for optimal patient management and resource allocation.

Keywords: COVID-19; coronavirus disease; patient outcome assessment; pneumonia; radiography; viral.

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19*
  • Comorbidity
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Radiography, Thoracic
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors