A novel predictive score for citrate accumulation among patients receiving artificial liver support system therapy with regional citrate anticoagulation

Sci Rep. 2020 Jul 30;10(1):12861. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-69902-2.

Abstract

Patients with liver failure may suffer citrate accumulation when using regional citrate anticoagulation for artificial liver support system therapy (RCA-ALSS therapy). This study aimed to develop a predictive scoring system to stratify the risk of citrate accumulation. A total of 338 patients treated with RCA-ALSS therapy were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts. Longer duration of citrate accumulation (LDCA) was defined as the presence of citrate accumulation 2 h after RCA-ALSS therapy. Four baseline variables were found to be independently associated with LDCA: gender, international normalized ratio of prothrombin time, serum creatinine, and serum chloride. A predictive R-CA model and its simplified R-CA score were developed. The R-CA model (AUROC = 0.848) was found to be superior to the MELD score (AUROC = 0.725; p = 0.022) and other univariate predictors (AUROCs < 0.700; all p ≤ 0.001) in predicting LDCA. The R-CA score (AUROC = 0.803) was as capable as the R-CA model (p = 0.369) and the MELD score (p = 0.174), and was superior to other univariate predictors (all p < 0.05) in predicting LDCA. An R-CA score of 0-2 had a negative predictive value of 90.2% for LDCA. Our R-CA score reliably predicts LDCA in patients with RCA-ALSS therapy, and it is easy to use. Patients with R-CA score of 0-2 can safely receive RCA-ALSS therapy, while others should be carefully evaluated before treatment.Trial registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR2000029179. Registered 17 January 2020, https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=48084.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Anticoagulants / adverse effects*
  • Chlorides / blood
  • Citric Acid / adverse effects*
  • Citric Acid / metabolism*
  • Creatinine / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • International Normalized Ratio
  • Liver / metabolism*
  • Liver Failure / metabolism*
  • Liver Failure / therapy*
  • Liver, Artificial / adverse effects*
  • Male
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sex Factors

Substances

  • Anticoagulants
  • Chlorides
  • Citric Acid
  • Creatinine

Associated data

  • ChiCTR/ChiCTR2000029179